Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.018547 0.019901 0.021307 0.022875 0.024578 0.026371 0.028406
2026-02-01 0.016149 0.018084 0.020190 0.022660 0.025484 0.028620 0.032375
2026-02-08 0.014450 0.016691 0.019220 0.022297 0.025954 0.030178 0.035455
2026-02-15 0.013280 0.015728 0.018570 0.022134 0.026507 0.031729 0.038482
2026-02-22 0.012307 0.014885 0.017954 0.021901 0.026878 0.032992 0.041146
2026-03-01 0.011529 0.014205 0.017459 0.021740 0.027272 0.034246 0.043807
2026-03-08 0.010859 0.013603 0.017005 0.021573 0.027610 0.035401 0.046358
2026-03-15 0.010366 0.013188 0.016750 0.021625 0.028204 0.036886 0.049398
2026-03-22 0.009873 0.012738 0.016414 0.021535 0.028582 0.038074 0.052067
2026-03-29 0.009448 0.012352 0.016134 0.021493 0.029002 0.039317 0.054858
2026-04-05 0.009039 0.011962 0.015825 0.021383 0.029306 0.040394 0.057447
2026-04-12 0.008707 0.011658 0.015613 0.021389 0.029760 0.041689 0.060409
2026-04-19 0.008411 0.011403 0.015470 0.021507 0.030413 0.043353 0.064106
2026-04-26 0.008026 0.011006 0.015114 0.021300 0.030581 0.044311 0.066790
2026-05-03 0.007630 0.010574 0.014684 0.020961 0.030524 0.044915 0.068938
2026-05-10 0.007320 0.010252 0.014395 0.020809 0.030734 0.045927 0.071786
2026-05-17 0.007014 0.009920 0.014075 0.020591 0.030824 0.046742 0.074345
2026-05-24 0.006748 0.009635 0.013810 0.020441 0.031004 0.047699 0.077188
2026-05-31 0.006498 0.009364 0.013552 0.020287 0.031162 0.048621 0.080013
2026-06-07 0.006318 0.009188 0.013430 0.020335 0.031645 0.050090 0.083874
2026-06-14 0.006114 0.008969 0.013232 0.020251 0.031902 0.051189 0.087135
2026-06-21 0.005934 0.008778 0.013067 0.020212 0.032226 0.052410 0.090687
2026-06-28 0.005748 0.008572 0.012871 0.020109 0.032435 0.053437 0.093936